Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Dec 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
We said: Nacional 0-4 Benfica
While Nacional will be looking to build on last weekend's stalemate with Famalicao, they have their work cut out against a Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we are backing Lage's men to come away with a comfortable victory at the Estadio da Madeira. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
12.46% ( 0.3) | 17.34% ( 0.11) | 70.19% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
