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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Salford City

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Salford City

Bugiel (70')
Johnson (81'), Neufville (90+7'), Brown (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McAleny (7'), McLennan (24'), Watt (32'), Garbutt (33'), Watson (45+2'), Lund (45+5'), Tilt (65'), (90+10')
Watt (90+9'), Vassell (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Salford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
54.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 22.15% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)14.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.79%
    Salford City 23.06%
    Draw 22.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Salford City
McAteer (7'), Al-Hamadi (58')
McAleny (55'), Hendry (90+5', 90+6')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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