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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
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Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Sutton United

Salford City
1 - 2
Sutton

Watson (50')
Vassell (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanderson (45+2', 63')
Smith (20'), Sanderson (56'), N'Guessan (88'), Beautyman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Sutton United

Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival. However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSutton United
47.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (0.662 0.66)41.02% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)63.41% (-0.667 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.277 0.28)17.49% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.478 0.48)47.98% (-0.474 -0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.39 0.39)26.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.15% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 47.55%
    Sutton United 28.99%
    Draw 23.45%
Salford CityDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Salford City vs Sutton

Salford City
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
0-2
Salford City

Kizzi (12')
Smith (54'), N'Mai (65')
Smith (23'), Bolton (44'), Lund (77')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Salford City
2-0
Sutton
McAleny (9', 45+1')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
1-2
Salford City
Neufville (62')
Lund (80'), Watson (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
0-0
Salford City
John (52'), Milsom (84')
Ndaba (86')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Salford City
0-0
Sutton
McAleny (42'), Lowe (61'), Elliott (90+3')
Davis (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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