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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
26.51% ( -0.2) | 25.24% ( -0.47) | 48.25% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.46% ( 1.76) | 50.54% ( -1.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.54% ( 1.53) | 72.46% ( -1.53) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( 0.78) | 33.62% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% ( 0.84) | 70.27% ( -0.84) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( 1.02) | 20.97% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( 1.56) | 53.72% ( -1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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