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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
45% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 30.29% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% ( -0.02) | 46.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( -0.02) | 68.33% ( 0.02) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% ( -0.01) | 20.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.96% ( -0.02) | 53.04% ( 0.02) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -0) | 28.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% ( -0) | 64.27% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |