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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 18
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Walsall

Doncaster
2 - 1
Walsall

Ironside (39'), Adelakun (77')
Adelakun (45+2'), Biggins (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hutchinson (90+3')
Foulkes (37'), Gordon (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Walsall

There has not been a draw between these two teams since January 2008, but we are predicting a 1-1 on Tuesday night. Doncaster are in excellent form and have that winning feeling, but Walsall have enough quality to end the home side's run in the intriguing contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawWalsall
43.04% (0.33 0.33) 25.02% (-0.42 -0.42) 31.94% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.55% (1.448 1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (1.869 1.87)46.74% (-1.868 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (1.726 1.73)69.01% (-1.726 -1.73)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.953 0.95)21.72% (-0.953 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (1.436 1.44)54.88% (-1.436 -1.44)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.98100000000001 0.98)27.76% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (1.242 1.24)63.34% (-1.241 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 43.04%
    Walsall 31.94%
    Draw 25.01%
Doncaster RoversDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.195 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.398 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Walsall

Doncaster Rovers
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Walsall
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Walsall
3-1
Doncaster
Gordon (18'), Earing (67'), Faal (80')
Hurst (62')
Maxwell (63'), Anderson (71'), Olowu (85'), Waters (89'), Sterry (90+2')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Doncaster
0-2
Walsall
Knowles (52'), Johnson (71')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Walsall
0-0
Doncaster
Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Osadebe (60')
Close (36')
Greaves (88')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Doncaster
3-1
Walsall
Marquis (3' pen.), Wilks (4'), Andrew (39')
Gordon (14')
Leahy (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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