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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
35.62% ( -0.32) | 24.47% ( 0) | 39.91% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.55% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( -0.05) | 43.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( -0.05) | 65.68% ( 0.05) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.2) | 23.93% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.28) | 58.15% ( 0.29) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 0.14) | 21.72% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( 0.21) | 54.88% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |