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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
57.21% ( 0) | 22.53% ( -0) | 20.26% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( 0.02) | 45.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% ( 0.01) | 67.7% ( -0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.38% ( 0) | 15.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.39% ( 0.01) | 44.61% ( -0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( 0.01) | 36.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 0.01) | 73.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |