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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Accrington Stanley

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
54.16% (-0.186 -0.19) 22.04% (0.061 0.06) 23.8% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.138 -0.14)38.8% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.145 -0.15)61.11% (0.147 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.208 -0.21)42.22% (0.209 0.21)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.16%
    Accrington Stanley 23.8%
    Draw 22.03%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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