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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 8
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Newport County

Barrow
1 - 0
Newport

Stockton (20')
Ray (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (65'), Bright (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Newport County

With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawNewport County
51.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.23%
    Newport County 22.61%
    Draw 26.15%
BarrowDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Newport

Barrow
48.6%
Draw
25.7%
Newport County
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Newport
1-1
Barrow
McLoughlin (40')
Delaney (5'), Bennett (14'), Morris (20')
Delaney (43')
Campbell (69' pen.)
Canavan (28'), Gotts (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barrow
0-1
Newport
Demetriou (90+5')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newport
0-2
Barrow
Gordon (45', 59')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Newport
2-1
Barrow
Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barrow
2-1
Newport
Kay (63'), Gordon (78')
Azaz (10')
Farquharson (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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