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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
51.24% ( -0) | 26.15% ( 0) | 22.61% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.93% ( -0) | 57.07% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( -0) | 77.95% ( 0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% ( -0) | 22.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% ( -0.01) | 55.86% ( 0.01) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% ( -0) | 40.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.7% ( -0) | 77.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |