Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
