Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Barrow win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.