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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
2 - 1
Notts County

Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jatta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Notts County

 Both teams have struggled with putting together consistent performances this season, which is reflected by their current league standings. However, Notts County does head into the game as the favourites despite losing their most recent outing, with the team boasting enough quality to get the job done here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
44.5% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.22% (-0.032 -0.03) 33.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 67.37% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (0.148 0.15)32.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.49% (0.171 0.17)54.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (0.182 0.18)44.33% (-0.176 -0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.68% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.5%
    Notts County 33.28%
    Draw 22.22%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Swindon vs Notts County

Swindon Town
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Notts County
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Notts County
Norris (47')
Dunne (90')

Brisley (17'), Grant (90')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
1-0
Swindon
Stead (32' pen.)

Norris (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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