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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Notts County

Crawley
2 - 1
Notts County

Lolas (79'), Adeyemo (84')
Gordon (12'), Mukena (49'), Forster (54'), Lolas (73'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (20')
Slocombe (30'), O'Brien (51'), Robertson (66')
Robertson (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
41.65% (0.451 0.45) 21.91% (0.281 0.28) 36.44% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.52% (-1.251 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.62% (-1.565 -1.57)30.38% (1.572 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.35% (-1.899 -1.9)51.65% (1.906 1.91)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.471 -0.47)15.55% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.892 -0.89)44.49% (0.899 0.9)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-1.01 -1.01)17.68% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-1.784 -1.78)48.32% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.65%
    Notts County 36.44%
    Draw 21.91%
Crawley TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.364 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.44%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
McGoldrick (20'), O'Brien (61'), Morias (70')
Macarai (58')
Campbell (10')
Orsi (34'), Lindsey (35'), Maguire (60'), Campbell (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Notts County
3-2
Crawley
Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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