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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Gillingham

Notts County
1 - 3
Gillingham

Crowley (13')
Bostock (45+3'), McGoldrick (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hawkins (19'), Clark (35'), Masterson (53')
Clemence (0'), Dieng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Gillingham

 Notts County will be keen to end their four-game winless run in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils against a Gillingham side that has lost just one of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
51.55% (-0.169 -0.17) 22.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 26.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.16 -0.16)36.12% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.174 -0.17)58.23% (0.172 0.17)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.216 -0.22)42.04% (0.213 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Gillingham 26.43%
    Draw 22.02%
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Notts County vs Gillingham

Notts County
81.8%
Draw
3.0%
Gillingham
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gillingham
1-2
Notts County
Malone (52')
Malone (52'), Lapslie (77')
Langstaff (38'), Macarai (78')
O'Brien (84'), Cameron (90+6'), McGoldrick (90+6')
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
Gillingham
3-1
Notts County
Egan (88'), Dickenson (93'), Norris (95')
Egan (88')
Burke (61')
Adams (50'), Burke (61'), McCourt (92')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Gillingham
Harrad (35')
Noble (32'), Carroll (81')

Hessenthaler (32'), Dickenson (56')
Dec 7, 2013 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Gillingham
McGregor (40', 54'), Grealish (89')
Grealish (87')
Dack (46')
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Notts County
Whelpdale (24'), Kedwell (29')
Hollands (91')
McGregor (79')
Smith (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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