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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Gillingham

Notts County
1 - 3
Gillingham

Crowley (13')
Bostock (45+3'), McGoldrick (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hawkins (19'), Clark (35'), Masterson (53')
Clemence (0'), Dieng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Gillingham

 Notts County will be keen to end their four-game winless run in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils against a Gillingham side that has lost just one of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
51.55% (-0.169 -0.17) 22.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 26.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.16 -0.16)36.12% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.174 -0.17)58.23% (0.172 0.17)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.216 -0.22)42.04% (0.213 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Gillingham 26.43%
    Draw 22.02%
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Notts County vs Gillingham

Notts County
81.8%
Draw
3.0%
Gillingham
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gillingham
1-2
Notts County
Malone (52')
Malone (52'), Lapslie (77')
Langstaff (38'), Macarai (78')
O'Brien (84'), Cameron (90+6'), McGoldrick (90+6')
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
Gillingham
3-1
Notts County
Egan (88'), Dickenson (93'), Norris (95')
Egan (88')
Burke (61')
Adams (50'), Burke (61'), McCourt (92')
> Match Report
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Gillingham
Harrad (35')
Noble (32'), Carroll (81')

Hessenthaler (32'), Dickenson (56')
Dec 7, 2013 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Gillingham
McGregor (40', 54'), Grealish (89')
Grealish (87')
Dack (46')
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Notts County
Whelpdale (24'), Kedwell (29')
Hollands (91')
McGregor (79')
Smith (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
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> League Two Full Table


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