League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Mansfield1 - 0Notts County
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
60.02% ( 0.44) | 19.14% ( -0.09) | 20.84% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 66.98% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.56% ( -0.02) | 28.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.71% ( -0.02) | 49.29% ( 0.03) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.56% ( 0.1) | 9.44% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.29% ( 0.23) | 31.71% ( -0.22) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( -0.29) | 26.04% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( -0.39) | 61.08% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town 60.02%
Notts County 20.84%
Draw 19.14%
Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.84% |
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Notts County
1-4
Mansfield
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide