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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Notts County

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Notts County

 We anticipate a hard-fought encounter at Edgeley Park between two of League Two's strongest sides, with one goal either way likely settling it. Given their recent results and with home advantage, we give a slight edge to the table-topping hosts to get over the line and head into Christmas with an enviable lead at the summit, but they certainly face one of their toughest tests yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
53.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.65%23.98% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.052 -0.05)41.45% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.85% (0.052 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)67.08% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 53.37%
    Notts County 23.98%
    Draw 22.64%
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Stockport vs Notts County

Stockport County
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
0-0
Notts County
Reid (61')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 49
Stockport
P-P
Notts County
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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