Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Barrow |
48.9% ( -0.16) | 22.12% ( 0.06) | 28.98% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 65.24% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4% ( -0.24) | 34.6% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.46% ( -0.27) | 56.54% ( 0.27) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% ( -0.14) | 14.59% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.32% ( -0.27) | 42.68% ( 0.27) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -0.06) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -0.09) | 57.69% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |