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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

 Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
61.85% (-0.434 -0.43) 18.51% (0.161 0.16) 19.63% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.87% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)27.13% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.35% (-0.476 -0.48)47.65% (0.474 0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (-0.2 -0.2)8.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.19% (-0.492 -0.49)29.81% (0.491 0.49)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 61.86%
    Morecambe 19.63%
    Draw 18.51%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.51%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-4
Notts County
Lang (89')
Grant (13', 59'), Alessandra (21', 86')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-0
Morecambe
Jones (27'), Forte (85')
Hewitt (65')

Rose (26'), Muller (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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