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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Notts County
3 - 0
Doncaster

Crowley (33'), Langstaff (44'), Nemane (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Close (75'), Bailey (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Notts County 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

Notts County and Doncaster Rovers have had a contrasting first half of the season, with Rovers scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. While Williams's men have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around against Tuesday's visitors and we are tipping them to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
52.16% (0.554 0.55) 21.02% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.81% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 67.51% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.396 0.4)30.87% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.47 0.47)52.23% (-0.47 -0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (0.297 0.3)12.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.02% (0.624 0.62)37.98% (-0.624 -0.62)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.073 -0.07)56.88% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.16%
    Doncaster Rovers 26.81%
    Draw 21.02%
Notts CountyDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Notts County vs Doncaster

Notts County
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Doncaster Rovers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Doncaster
1-3
Notts County
Sotona (90+5')
Langstaff (28', 46'), Jones (54')
McGoldrick (16'), Jones (18'), Bostock (21')
Nov 14, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Notts County
4-2
Doncaster
Dennis (15', 40', 63' pen.), Boldewijn (26')
Milsom (81')
May (50', 70')
Wilks (86')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Doncaster
3-1
Notts County
Coppinger (44'), Baudry (47'), Williams (95')
May (78')
Duffy (20')
Bola (71')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Doncaster
Thompson (8'), Noble (60')
Hollis (46'), Burke (64'), Bajner (70')
Tyson (95' pen.)
Butler (67'), Jones (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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