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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
0 - 1
Gillingham


Iandolo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Gillingham

This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate to get their 2024 off to a bright start. Colchester's home advantage and potentially better conversion might give them a chance in the match, but Gillingham's defensive resilience and ability to create a lot of chances might see them edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
39.71% (0.113 0.11) 26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 34.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)59.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)63.73% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 39.71%
    Gillingham 34.29%
    Draw 26%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Group Stage
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Kennedy (53')
McKenzie (90+3')
Lintott (38'), O'Keefe (44'), MacDonald (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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