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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Salford City

Colchester
2 - 1
Salford City

Taylor (42'), Cooper (89')
Read (17'), Hall (29'), Taylor (31'), Mitchell (74'), Akinde (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (90+1')
Ingram (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Salford City

Colchester took four points off Salford in their two meetings last season, but the Essex side are in such poor form, and Salford really need a result. We are expecting this to be a tight game but believe that Salford have enough quality to pick up what would be a very important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
38.83% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.38% (-0.125 -0.13) 36.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.591 0.59)42.75% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.586 0.59)65.15% (-0.586 -0.59)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.426 0.43)22.01% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.642 0.64)55.33% (-0.642 -0.64)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.164 0.16)23.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.238 0.24)56.88% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.83%
    Salford City 36.79%
    Draw 24.38%
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-3
Colchester

Turnbull (50'), Watson (54')
Chambers (30'), Kenlock (33'), Andrews (82')
Huws (61')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-2
Salford City

Jasper (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (10'), Elliott (25')
Turnbull (38'), Lund (50'), Thomas-Asante (59')
Thomas-Asante (88')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
1-0
Salford City
Bohui (69')
Sarpong-Wiredu (72')

Bernard (15'), Turnbull (79'), Eastham (82'), Threlkeld (86')
Bernard (32'), Hunter (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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