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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Colchester United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Colchester

Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Read (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Salford City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Colchester United

 Buoyed by their victory over Salford, Colchester will head into the Boxing Day clash with renewed belief as they look to pull clear of the danger zone. However, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of their last five League Two home games. MK Dons are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawColchester United
53.21% (0.315 0.31) 23.15% (-0.058 -0.06) 23.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.111 0.11)16.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (0.201 0.2)46.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.223 -0.22)32.53% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.25 -0.25)69.05% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.21%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 23.15%
MK DonsDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Colchester

MK Dons
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Colchester
2-3
MK Dons
Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
Colchester
0-1
MK Dons

Lapslie (39')
Alli (44')
McFadzean (28'), Potter (38')
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Colchester
Alli (11'), Afobe (37', 45', 58'), Reeves (67' pen.), Hodson (91')

Fox (33'), Kpekawa (52')
Packwood (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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