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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Swindon Town

Sutton
3 - 1
Swindon

Lakin (9'), Coley (48'), Smith (70')
Sowunmi (67'), Patrick (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (90+3')
Brewitt (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Swindon Town

The hosts are on a better run of results heading into this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
46.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)64.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 46.74%
    Swindon Town 29.54%
    Draw 23.71%
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Swindon

Sutton United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Swindon Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
5-3
Sutton
Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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