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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Barrow

Carlisle
5 - 1
Barrow

Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Mellish (76'), Gibson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barclay (84' og.)
Ray (34'), Gotts (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Barrow

 A cagey affair could be in store between two sides separated by just one point in the standings, and neither crop of players have covered themselves in glory recently. Barrow should give themselves a fighting chance of avoiding yet another defeat on the road if they can cut out the individual errors, but Carlisle may have to accept another point on their own territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
46.24% (1.06 1.06) 27.27% (-0.397 -0.4) 26.49% (-0.667 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.51% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (1.014 1.01)58.26% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.788 0.79)78.89% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.989 0.99)25.19% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (1.346 1.35)59.92% (-1.349 -1.35)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.6% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.23%
    Barrow 26.49%
    Draw 27.27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Barrow

Carlisle United
73.2%
Draw
7.3%
Barrow
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow

Guy (90+5')

Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-2
Carlisle
Quigley (19'), Brough (24')
Eardley (25'), Quigley (73')
Armer (3'), Zanzala (79' pen.)
Armer (30'), Tanner (52'), Mellish (66')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Barrow
Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')
Hayden (55')

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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