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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Doncaster Rovers
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Carlisle United

Doncaster
2 - 1
Carlisle

Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Seaman (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dennis (87')
Harris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Carlisle United

Doncaster have been showing inconsistent signs all season, and that is why we do not expect them to follow up their midweek victory with another three points on Sunday. Not only that, but Carlisle have emerged as one of League Two's better teams this season, particularly away from home, and they are very capable of recording a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
32.07%26.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 40.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.16%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 32.07%
    Carlisle United 40.95%
    Draw 26.98%
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Carlisle

Doncaster Rovers
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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