MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:06:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Carlisle United

Crewe
0 - 3
Carlisle


Mellor (49')
Offord (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
Feeney (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Carlisle United

 Carlisle will be bidding to make it back-to-back victories on Thursday, and we are backing the visitors to triumph here. Crewe have lost their last three during a disappointing run, and we are predicting a narrow defeat for the home side in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
31.38% (0.029 0.03) 26.05% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 42.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.246 0.25)51.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.213 0.21)73.18% (-0.217 -0.22)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.142 0.14)30.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.17 0.17)66.64% (-0.173 -0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.11800000000001 0.12)23.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.172 0.17)58.17% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 31.38%
    Carlisle United 42.55%
    Draw 26.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.55%

How you voted: Crewe vs Carlisle

Crewe Alexandra
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-0
Crewe

Agyei (30')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-1
Carlisle

Nolan (29'), Hunt (61')
Devitt (90')
Bennett (18'), Devitt (83'), Yates (84'), Gerrard (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!