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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Carlisle United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

 Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
34.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 39.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.42% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.01%
    Carlisle United 39.34%
    Draw 26.65%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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