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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Rochdale

Carlisle
3 - 3
Rochdale

Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawRochdale
43.88% (-0.558 -0.56) 26.93% (-0.413 -0.41) 29.18% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 49.18% (1.726 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (1.944 1.94)55.67% (-1.947 -1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (1.562 1.56)76.82% (-1.566 -1.57)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.596 0.6)25.2% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (0.816 0.82)59.93% (-0.821 -0.82)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (1.795 1.8)34.25% (-1.798 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (1.876 1.88)70.95% (-1.88 -1.88)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.88%
    Rochdale 29.18%
    Draw 26.92%
Carlisle UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.669 -0.67)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Mar 6, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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