League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon3 - 0Rochdale
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Stockport County | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 4 | -6 | 3 |
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 23 | Newport County | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Rochdale |
51.45% ( 3.91) | 25.12% ( -0.78) | 23.42% ( -3.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
