MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:25:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
22.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 25.47% (-0.299 -0.3) 52.21% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.92 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (1.162 1.16)54.88% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.953 0.95)76.17% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (0.74 0.74)39.76% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.675 0.68)76.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.566 0.57)21.04% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.874 0.87)53.84% (-0.872 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 22.32%
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Draw 25.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.32%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.21%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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