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Championship header 2

League Two
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Newport County

Bradford
4 - 1
Newport

Kavanagh (44'), Cook (45+1'), Pointon (57'), Walker (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charsley (65')
Evans (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 2-0 Newport County

 All the pressure is on Bradford in this particular fixture, but considering they could earn a playoff position that is something they are likely to relish. With Newport being on a dreadful run of form there should be no shortage of confidence for the Bantams, who will expect to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
50.34% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 24.85% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 24.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.257 -0.26)50.26% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.229 -0.23)72.21% (0.227 0.23)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (-0.131 -0.13)19.97% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.207 -0.21)52.14% (0.206 0.21)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.137 -0.14)34.89% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.142 -0.14)71.63% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 50.33%
    Newport County 24.81%
    Draw 24.84%
Bradford CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Bradford vs Newport

Bradford City
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Newport
1-4
Bradford
Bogle (35')
Evans (72'), Drysdale (85')
Cook (14', 29', 90+1'), Tulloch (26')
Ridehalgh (84')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Newport
1-1
Bradford
Ridehalgh (61' og.)
Cook (36')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bradford
2-0
Newport
Smallwood (7'), Chapman (53')
Banks (66')

Bennett (33'), Waite (69'), Norman (79')
Drysdale (45+5')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bradford
0-0
Newport
O'Connor (68')
Telford (67'), Street (68')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
0-0
Bradford
Cooper (71'), Baker-Richardson (90')
Ridehalgh (36'), O'Connor (45'), Watt (82')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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