MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:40:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Newport County

Colchester
2 - 1
Newport

Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-1 Newport County

 With two porous defences going head-to-head, we expect neither of the teams to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we also fancy the home side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
41.17% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 25.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.51% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.96% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)27.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)62.59% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 41.17%
    Newport County 33.51%
    Draw 25.31%
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Colchester vs Newport

Colchester United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
2-1
Colchester
Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
1-0
Colchester
Evans (7')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Newport
1-2
Colchester
Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')
Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!