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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
1 - 1
Colchester

Brunt (63')
Keillor-Dunn (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (13')
Ihionvien (16'), Hall (45+2'), Tovide (74'), Hopper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-5 Mansfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Colchester United

With Mansfield having been far from perfect in recent weeks, Colchester will sense an opportunity to cause an upset, aware that no-one expects them to avoid defeat. However, we can only back the home side to come through, even if it takes the second half to finally discourage their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
65.09% (-0.566 -0.57) 19.05% (0.25 0.25) 15.86% (0.316 0.32)
Both teams to score 57% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21% (-0.55 -0.55)36.79% (0.55 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.599 -0.6)58.96% (0.599 0.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.298 -0.3)10.62% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.669 -0.67)34.43% (0.669 0.67)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.01% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 65.09%
    Colchester United 15.86%
    Draw 19.05%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.05%
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.86%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Colchester United
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Taylor (30')
Taylor (75'), Egbo (80'), Fevrier (87'), Chilvers (89')
Keillor-Dunn (90')
Reed (64'), Cargill (73'), Johnson (90+2')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Colchester
0-2
Mansfield
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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