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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley


Charsley (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town

 There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
36.43% (0.058 0.06) 24.07% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.49% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)41.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.43%
    Crawley Town 39.49%
    Draw 24.07%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crawley
4-1
Newport
Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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