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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

 Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.36% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 41.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.184 0.18)47.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.169 0.17)69.99% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)27.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)62.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.11500000000001 0.12)23.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.168 0.17)56.82% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.35%
    Newport County 41.28%
    Draw 25.36%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.28%

How you voted: Crawley vs Newport

Crawley Town
44.8%
Draw
31.0%
Newport County
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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