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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
2 - 1
MK Dons

Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.89% (0.356 0.36) 26.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 37.72% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.62% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.217 0.22)27.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.276 0.28)63.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)26.74% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (-0.267 -0.27)62.01% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.89%
    MK Dons 37.72%
    Draw 26.39%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Alli (15'), Afobe (92')
Powell (64'), Carruthers (89')
McFadzean (69')

Henderson (25'), Tomlin (39'), Harrold (89')
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crawley

Rasulo (85')
Drury (7'), Jones (45')
Sadler (39'), Jones (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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