We said: MK Dons 2-1 Tranmere Rovers
MK Dons were clinical on the front foot against Wrexham on the opening day, and we expect them to make it two wins from two at the start of their first campaign back in the fourth tier.
Tranmere Rovers showed they have got real quality during their victory against Barnsley on Tuesday night, but we think they will come up just short away at one of the promotion favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.