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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
34.01% ( -0.09) | 26.33% ( -0.11) | 39.66% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% ( 0.44) | 51.83% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.38) | 73.59% ( -0.39) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.16) | 28.94% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.2) | 64.82% ( -0.21) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( 0.31) | 25.65% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% ( 0.42) | 60.55% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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