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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Harrogate Town

Tranmere
1 - 1
Harrogate

Oxley (36' og.)
Cogley (54'), Hendry (63'), Turnbull (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Armstrong (4')
O'Connor (35'), Falkingham (49'), Sutton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Harrogate Town

 Even though they were ultimately unable to come away with the three points, there were promising signs for Tranmere in the first half at Colchester last weekend, and they have largely been solid at home against teams in the bottom half of the table. With Harrogate coming up short in their last away trip, against relegation-threatened Crawley Town, we expect the hosts to run out narrow victors, in what is likely to be a scrappy game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawHarrogate Town
46.79% (-0.236 -0.24) 26.41% (0.159 0.16) 26.8% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (-0.543 -0.54)54.94% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.45 -0.45)76.22% (0.453 0.45)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.343 -0.34)23.47% (0.347 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.5 -0.5)57.49% (0.503 0.5)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.226 -0.23)35.75% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.233 -0.23)72.52% (0.23700000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 46.78%
    Harrogate Town 26.8%
    Draw 26.4%
Tranmere RoversDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Harrogate

Tranmere Rovers
74.1%
Draw
18.5%
Harrogate Town
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
1-1
Tranmere
Daly (37')
Headley (60')
Turnbull (57')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
2-0
Harrogate
Warrington (49'), Hemmings (65' pen.)
McPake (18'), Clarke (60'), Murphy (86')

Armstrong (25'), Fallowfield (65')
Armstrong (27')
Dec 21, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Tranmere
1-2
Harrogate
Maynard (11')
Muldoon (53'), Pattison (71')
Diamond (64'), Thomson (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Harrogate
2-2
Tranmere
Muldoon (39' pen.), Armstrong (51')
Spearing (32' pen.), Morris (55')
Cogley (90')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Tranmere
3-2
Harrogate
Vaughan (36' pen., 53'), Woolery (51')
MacDonald (57'), Lewis (86'), Vaughan (90')
McPake (25'), March (72')
Hall (35')
Hall (69')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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