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Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crawley Town

Tranmere
1 - 0
Crawley

Turnbull (68')
Walker (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crawley Town

Tranmere have been on a really poor run of form, but they are above Crawley in the table and have enough quality to secure a narrow victory on home soil. Crawley have not won away all season and lost in disappointing style against Hartlepool last time out, so they are likely to come away empty-handed again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
56.36% (1.024 1.02) 23.77% (-0.406 -0.41) 19.86% (-0.619 -0.62)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (0.844 0.84)51.03% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (0.735 0.74)72.9% (-0.73700000000001 -0.74)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.697 0.7)17.93% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (1.183 1.18)48.75% (-1.186 -1.19)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.18 -0.18)40.1% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.163 -0.16)76.74% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 56.35%
    Crawley Town 19.86%
    Draw 23.77%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.158 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.86%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley

Tranmere Rovers
73.7%
Draw
15.8%
Crawley Town
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Tranmere
2-1
Crawley
Clarke (28', 79')
Cogley (16'), Merrie (20')
Appiah (64')
Davies (33'), Powell (43')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 6.30pm
Crawley
4-0
Tranmere
Watters (13'), Nichols (21'), Tunnicliffe (24'), Frost (77')

Smith (55'), Vaughan (61'), MacDonald (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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