League One | Gameweek 5
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln2 - 1Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town
Northampton have restored some much-needed belief with a seven-point haul from their last three matches, and we think that they will do enough to hold Lincoln to a draw to make it four consecutive league matches without defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Northampton Town |
51.44% ( 0.75) | 25.39% ( 0.08) | 23.17% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
