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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Northampton Town

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
40.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.76% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.7% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.48% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.75% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.5%
    Northampton Town 32.01%
    Draw 27.47%
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Northampton

Lincoln City
12.5%
Draw
75.0%
Northampton Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
1-1
Northampton
Andrade (27')
Anderson (42')
Pierre (45')
Buchanan (13'), Goode (39'), Taylor (61'), Elsnik (67')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Lincoln
3-2
Northampton
Anderson (16'), Pett (52'), Andrade (90')
Shackell (45'), Akinde (71'), Green (94'), Pett (99')
Bridge (55'), Van Veen (81')
van Veen (27'), O'Toole (36'), Turnbull (67'), McWilliams (75')
Morias (99')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713


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