MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:34:15| >> :600:1419803:1419803:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Wham Stadium
Lincoln City

Accrington
1 - 0
Lincoln

Longelo-Mbule (90+3')
Henderson (23'), Woods (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (73'), Roughan (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
39.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.016999999999996 0.02)51.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)73.72% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 39.49%
    Lincoln City 34.14%
    Draw 26.37%
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.14%

How you voted: Accrington vs Lincoln

Accrington Stanley
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
0-3
Lincoln
House (24'), Roughan (55'), Bishop (58')
Jan 10, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Lincoln
2-2
Accrington
Accrington win 3-1 on penalties
Hopper (7', 80')
Presley (36', 73')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lincoln
1-1
Accrington
Diamond (60' pen.)
Rodgers (85')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Accrington
2-1
Lincoln
Jackson (34' og.), Bishop (59')
Savin (61')
Fiorini (90+3')
Whittaker (85'), Marquis (90'), Fiorini (90+7')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Lincoln
0-1
Accrington

Adelakun (77')
Bishop (55')
Rodgers (17'), Coyle (23'), Sykes (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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