MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:41:02| >> :600:1855810:1855810:
Derby logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Lincoln City

Derby
2 - 0
Lincoln

Barkhuizen (51'), Sibley (77')
Fornah (4'), Elder (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (53')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawLincoln City
55.39% (-1.972 -1.97) 24.24% (1.087 1.09) 20.37% (0.886 0.89)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-1.879 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-3.212 -3.21)52.26% (3.212 3.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-2.834 -2.83)73.96% (2.836 2.84)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-1.9 -1.9)18.75% (1.901 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-3.282 -3.28)50.14% (3.283 3.28)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-0.895 -0.9)40.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.824 -0.82)76.9% (0.825 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 55.38%
    Lincoln City 20.37%
    Draw 24.23%
Derby CountyDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.82 0.82)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.451 -0.45)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.38%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.48 0.48)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.917 0.92)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.685 0.69)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.37%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Derby
1-1
Lincoln
Hourihane (69')
Shodipo (43')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lincoln
2-0
Derby
Diamond (12' pen.), House (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!