League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton2 - 1Derby
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 2-4 Derby
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
34.42% ( 0.03) | 26.49% | 39.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
