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Barnsley
League One | 2nd Leg
May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
1 - 0
Bolton

Kitching (24')
Cole (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (42'), Santos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bolton Wanderers (Barnsley to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Friday's showdown is destined to be a close-fought battle, but we expect Barnsley to edge out Bolton in front of the Oakwell faithful, with the hosts punching their ticket to Wembley thanks to a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
39.65% (0.314 0.31) 25.5% (-0.119 -0.12) 34.85% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.504 0.5)48.12% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.461 0.46)70.28% (-0.458 -0.46)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.389 0.39)23.98% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (0.554 0.55)58.22% (-0.551 -0.55)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.128 0.13)26.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.16699999999999 0.17)61.87% (-0.165 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 39.65%
    Bolton Wanderers 34.85%
    Draw 25.49%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
68.3%
Draw
13.3%
Bolton Wanderers
18.3%
60
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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