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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
37.57% ( 0.46) | 26.22% ( -0.17) | 36.21% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% ( 0.71) | 51.12% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% ( 0.62) | 72.97% ( -0.62) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( 0.59) | 26.47% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% ( 0.78) | 61.66% ( -0.78) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.17) | 27.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% ( 0.22) | 62.68% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |