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League One | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
37.57% (0.457 0.46) 26.22% (-0.168 -0.17) 36.21% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.707 0.71)51.12% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.618 0.62)72.97% (-0.619 -0.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.47% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.783 0.78)61.66% (-0.785 -0.78)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.167 0.17)27.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.216 0.22)62.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.57%
    Barnsley 36.21%
    Draw 26.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Barnsley
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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