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League One
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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
1 - 2
Wigan

Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Derby County 2-1 Wigan Athletic

 Derby come into this match in better form than their opponents, and we are expecting them to start the campaign strongly here to match their promotion ambitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
47.34% (-2.644 -2.64) 26.49% (0.364 0.36) 26.17% (2.282 2.28)
Both teams to score 48.47% (1.022 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.294 0.29)55.62% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.242 0.24)76.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-1.071 -1.07)23.5% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-1.579 -1.58)57.53% (1.58 1.58)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (2.193 2.19)36.65% (-2.191 -2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (2.137 2.14)73.44% (-2.136 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.34%
    Wigan Athletic 26.17%
    Draw 26.49%
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.702 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.407 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.461 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.443 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Derby vs Wigan

Derby County
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wigan Athletic
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Wigan
1-1
Derby
Garner (81')
Evans (61')
Waghorn (93')
Bielik (22'), Bogle (30'), Lawrence (43')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
1-0
Wigan
Shinnie (91')
Shinnie (64'), Malone (65')

Robinson (51'), Macleod (92')
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
2-1
Wigan
Bennett (62'), Malone (78')
Johnson (41'), Bennett (59'), Wilson (63'), Tomori (71')
Massey (25')
Morsy (37')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Wigan
0-1
Derby

Morsy (32')
Naismith (15')
Marriott (21')
Wilson (32'), Bryson (76')
> Match Report
Dec 31, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-0
Wigan
Johnson (57'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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