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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Lincoln City

Bolton
3 - 0
Lincoln

Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Lincoln City

 Bolton do boast slightly more quality throughout the squad than their visitors, and with home advantage and the need to get up and running quickly in their promotion bid, we fancy the Trotters to take all three points in their curtain-raiser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
44.56% (-1.108 -1.11) 26.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 29.33% (1.084 1.08)
Both teams to score 51.74% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.441 0.44)52.42% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.378 0.38)74.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)23.43% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.488 -0.49)57.43% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (1.049 1.05)32.43% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (1.164 1.16)68.95% (-1.163 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 44.55%
    Lincoln City 29.33%
    Draw 26.1%
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Bolton vs Lincoln

Bolton Wanderers
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Lincoln City
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
1-1
Bolton
House (10')
Toal (58')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-0
Lincoln
Charles (40' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (84')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Bolton
3-1
Lincoln
Johnston (53'), Sadlier (76'), Bakayoko (83')
Bakayoko (68'), Charles (88'), Williams (90')
Bramall (66')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lincoln
0-1
Bolton

Jackson (71')
Sarcevic (77')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
P-P
Lincoln
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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